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Content 1. Numerical solution for equilibrium equations of Markov chain: • Exact methods: Gaussian elimination, and GTH • Approximation (iterative) methods: Power method, Gauss- Seidel variant 2. Transient analysis of Markov process, uniformization, and occupancy time 3. M/M/1-type models: Quasi Birth Death processes and Matrix geometric solution 4. G/M/1 and M/G/1-type models: Free-skip processes in one direction 5. Finite Quasi Birth Death processes Lecture 1: Algo. Methods for discrete time MC 2 Lecture 1 Algorithmic methods for finding the equilibrium distribution of finite Markov chains Exact methods: Gaussian elimination, and GTH Approximation (iterative) methods: Power method, Gauss- Seidel variant Lecture 1: Algo. Methods for discrete time MC 3 Introduction Let denote a discrete time stochastic process with finite states space Markov property: If the process satisfies the Markov property, it is then called a discrete time Markov chain A Markov chain is stationary if is independent of , i.e., . In this case is called the one-step transition probability from state i to j The matrix , is transition probability matrix of , , where is column vector of ones. The element of , matrix to power n, represents the transition probability to go from i to j in steps Lecture 1: Algo. Methods for discrete time MC 4 Introduction A stationary Markov chain can be represented by a transition states diagram In a transition states diagram, two states can communicate if there is a route that joins them A Markov chain is irreducible if all its states can communicate between each other, i.e., an integer such that >0) 1 0.5 1 2 1 2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 3 0.5 3 0.5 1 Three states irreducible MC Three states absorbing MC: state 3 is absorbing, {1,2} are transient Lecture 1: Algo. Methods for discrete time MC 5 Introduction Let denotes the set of transient states and the set of absorbing states. For absorbing Markov chains the transition probability matrix can be written as, identity matrix, 0.5 1 2 0.3 1 0.7 3 1 Let , , denote expected number of visits to before absorption given that the chain starts in at the time 0. The matrix M gives 6 Lecture 1: Algo. Methods for discrete time MC
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