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NOTES ON MACROECONOMIC THEORY By Prof. Humberto Barreto Dept. of Economics Wabash College Not for quotation without the author's permission Revised 8/90, 8/91, 7/92, 8/93, 8/95 Originally Written 8/87 Many thanks to Prof. Frank Howland for his many suggestions and improvements. Table of Contents Chapter 1: Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Chapter 2: Short Run, Fixed Price Keynesian Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Section 1: The Simple Keynesian Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Section 2: The Partial Equilibrium Keynesian Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Section 3: The General Equilibrium Keynesian Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Section 4: A Comparison of the Three Short Run, Fixed Price Keynesian Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 Chapter 3: Short Run, Flexible (to Varying Degree) Price Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 Section 1: The "Conventional" IS/LMÑAD/AS Keynesian Model . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 Section 2: A Historical Digression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 Chapter 4: Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 2 Chapter 1: Introduction These are notes on orthodox macroeconomic theory. Originally written during the summer of 1987 in preparation for Econ97 (Senior Seminar) at Wabash College, they were substantially revised during the summer of 1990. The author wishes to thank Prof. Frank Howland for his many editorial suggestions and substantive comments. The author accepts responsibility for all remaining errors. Minor revisions were undertaken in August, 1991 by Prof. Howland. He takes responsibility for all errors that crept in during that revision. The primary goal of these notes is to enable the undergraduate student to understand conventional macroeconomic models. Particular attention will be paid to the derivation of the IS/LMÑAD/AS framework. Although you have undoubtedly seen much of the material presented here, it is hoped that any misunderstandings can be corrected and a sense of the "overall picture" can be gained. The analysis will consist of a verbal, graphical and mathematical presentation. The mathematics will include derivations of multipliers using the calculus, but will be supported by graphical analysis. Graphs are used to aid the student's intuition; but, it should be clear that the entire analysis can be presented with mathematical equations. It is assumed that you have completed a course in intermediate macro and bring this intellectual capital to bear in reading these notes. In particular, you should understand: national income accountingÑespecially GNP, C, I, G, T and R and their components real v. nominal valuesÑincluding the calculation of price indexes and their function unemploymentÑincluding the types of unemployment 3 inflationÑincluding the difference between a change in the price level and a change in the rate of change of the price level. the basics of the Keynesian macroeconomic modelÑincluding the following fundamental concepts: Equilibrium Endogenous and exogenous variables in a model Stock concepts versus flow concepts Shift ("autonomous change") v. movement along Consumption function MPC Investment function Inventories Full employment Multiplier Fiscal policy tools Money market equilibrium Monetary policy If you find some of these terms unfamiliar or confusing, you are urged to review your notes and/or textbook before continuing. Finally, these notes are not meant to be exhaustiveÑa great deal of material has been omitted. Only those elements absolutely essential for understanding the fundamentals of macroeconomic theory as captured by the IS/LMÑAD/AS analysis have been included. Thus, these notes are not a substitute for a textbook/lecture (i.e., class) approach to macroeconomics. (The most important omission is the fact that these notes do not cover dynamic macroeconomic models in any detail.) 4
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