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Energy Crisis - Energy Demand & Supply Position Total primary energy supply for year 2012-13 was 64.72 MTOE More than 99% of use through conventional energy sources Heavy reliance on expensive sources of energy, as 80 % from petroleum products 12.7% from large hydro and nuclear power 6.0% from coal Less than 1% through micro/mini renewable energy (RE) sources Pakistan's total energy savings potential: 418,807 TJ (11.16 MTOE) In FY 2011-12, this amounted to 17.25% of primary energy use!!! Insufficient Installed power generation capacity ~ 24,375 MW of which 67% is thermal Electricity shortfall of around 5000 MW during peak hours (Source: NEPRA’s State of Energy Report 2014) 2 Electricity Shortfall –Costs to Society (Examples) Total primary energy supply for year 2012-13 was 64.72 MTOE More than 99 % of use through conventional energy sources Heavy reliance on expensive sources of energy, as 80 % from petroleum products 12.7 % from large hydro and nuclear power 6.0 % from coal Less than 1 % through micro/mini renewable energy (RE) sources Pakistan's total energy savings potential: 418,807 TJ (11.16 MTOE) In FY 2011-12, this amounted to 17.25% of primary energy use!!! Insufficient Installed power generation capacity ~ 24,375 MW of which 67% is thermal Electricity shortfall of around 5000 MW during peak hours 3 (Source: NEPRA’s State of Energy Report 2014) Electricity Shortfall –Costs to Society (Examples) Citizens’ Quality of Life: wasted prime work hours, mental agony, sleep deprivation, and other health issues Businesses: Idle capacity, reduced productivity, labor wages, expensive self-power generation. Exports: Reduced Competiveness, Difficulty in meeting production/ delivery targets. Agriculture: Reduced productivity Consumers: Inflation due to high production costs of consumable goods. GDP Growth: Electricity Shortfall costs 2% in GDP growth (Source Vision 2025). 4 Renewable Energy Potential Alternative Energy Source Potential Solar 2,900 GW Wind 340 GW Large Hydro 40 GW Small Hydro 3.1 GW Bagasse /Biomass 1.8 GW Waste 500 MW Huge Potential: Potential of Low Exploitation: Only 7,116 MW More than 3,200 GW. of Hydro Potential is exploited. 5 Renewable Energy Potential Investment Matrix Total RE Industrial Investment (by Sector) Sector \ Tech Photovoltaic SWH (Solar Water Wind Energy Heater) Cement Leather Paper Others; 20.00% Cement; 12.77% Sugar Leather; 4.57% Textile Processing Paper; 0.54% Fertilizer; 4.17% Sugar; 6.44% Textile Spinning Fertilizer TP; 12.06% Others TS; 39.46% The industrial sector in Pakistan has long been suffering owing to unavailability of energy (load shedding for gas and electricity): Part of this energy deficiency could be met by Renewable Energy (“RE”) Potential for private sector involvement: about USD 2.0 billion for 800 MW of installed capacity Source: IFC’s Market Study on Sustainable Energy Finance 6
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