280x Filetype PPTX File size 1.29 MB Source: narsc.kilimo.go.ke
The Context
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Attaining SDG 1 and SDG 2 depends on ensuring food system is
productive, resilient, and contributes to tackling climate change …
• Meeting the rising demand for food and ending hunger and
food insecurity requires climate-smart food system that:
1. Improves agricultural productivity;
2. Builds resilience to climate change; and
3. Lowers greenhouse gas emissions.
• Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Project (KCSAP) aims to
address tradeoffs and synergies to secure these triple-wins:
productivity, adaptation, and mitigation.
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World food demand will be 40% higher by 2050 …
)
Growth in total food consumption by 2050, relative to 2015
s
n
o
i
l
l
i 7 M
r Additional by 2050 In 2015 O
T R
( E
F
y O
O
a 6 +17% D
d
/
l
a
c
k 5
+47%
4
+155%
3
2
+51% +27%
1
0
Sub-Saharan Africa MENA LAC South Asia EAP
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Demand for non-cereal crops will increase the most …
Change in consumption: 2015-2050 DIF
FER
EN
T F
O
Vegetable oils, oilseeds & products (oil eq.) 79% OD
Meat (carcass weight) 77%
Milk and dairy, excl. butter (fresh milk eq.) 73%
Sugar and sugar crops 56%
Roots and tubers 48%
Pulses 41%
Cereals 32%
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TOMORROW – The Food System could be THE Climate Change Problem …
SU
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T
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FO
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Projections of Global, Agriculture and Land Use Change Related Emissions towards 2050 (Gt CO e) D
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Global Emissions:
49.1 Gt
Agriculture Business Ag. Reduces Proportional
As Usual to Other Sectors
Global Emissions: Global Emissions:
21-22 Gt 21-22 Gt
~70%
5.4 Gt LULUCF* of 25% 5.4 Gt LULUCF*
~25% 11% - 5.5 Gt 60% GAP
of Total 14% 6.4 Gt Agriculture Total 45% 9.5 Gt Agriculture 4 Gt Agriculture
4 GT Agriculture
TODAY 2050 - ‘2C’ Ensuring Emission Level
WRI 2013 *Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry
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