150x Filetype PPTX File size 1.44 MB Source: people.stat.sc.edu
Ideas in Chapter 9 • Basic principles of hypothesis testing • How to use hypothesis testing to test a mean or proportion • Assumptions of each hypothesis-testing procedure • How to evaluate them • Consequences if they are seriously violated • Pitfalls & ethical issues involved in hypothesis testing • How to avoid the pitfalls involved in hypothesis testing 2 Consider: A company claims that it has only a 5% complaint rate for its • products. A consumer protection group thinks the percent is higher. A survey of a random sample of 400 product owners shows that 33 had complaints. = ? A. = 0.0001 B. 0.05 C. = = 0.0825 (8.25%) D. = 0.01 A company claims that it has only a 5% complaint rate for its products. A consumer protection group thinks the percent is higher. A survey of a random sample of 400 product owners shows that 33 had complaints. (That is, = = 0.0825 (8.25%) for the Consumer Group’s sample) Assume that the company’s claim is true and that p (the population proportion) is really 0.05 (5%) just as the company claims. • Remember, the sampling distribution of is approximately normal as long as the sample size is big enough • The mean of the sampling distribution of is p, and the standard deviation = = 0.01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 Assume that the company’s claim is true and that p is really 0.05 (5%). What is the probability that a of 8% or more would be observed? = 0.0825 0.997 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 1.000 – 0.997 = 0.003 and 0.003 / 2 = 0.0015 (0.15%) in each tail P( 0.08) = 0.0015 (0.15%) That is, UNLIKELY! Null Hypothesis, H (H-naught) 0 • Hypothesis test checks sample data against a claim or assumption about the population • H states the claim of the assertion to be tested 0 • Null hypothesis is the status quo or historical value • H is ALWAYS about a population parameter, 0 NOT a sample statistic • Always contains “=“, or “≤”, or “≥” sign • Until hypothesis test is completed and the decision is made, researcher must “ASSUME” that H is TRUE 0 • Similar to the notion of innocent until proven guilty in our justice system… • ASSUMPTION of true H may or may not be REJECTED 0 • BUT the ASSUMPTION is NEVER ACCEPTED 6
no reviews yet
Please Login to review.