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Introduction
The relationship between the financial sector and the real
sector has been the subject of great discussion in economics
While the literature has largely agreed that the financial
sector does impact on the real sector; there is less
agreement on the direction of causality
Moreover, the literature has concluded that not all financial
services are created equal; and therefore all sub sectors
within the financial sector do not interact with the real
sector in the same manner.
The most recent global financial crisis has prompted some
analysts to conclude that some financial innovations may be
too risky and there may be a need to revert to simpler bank
centric models.
Objectives of Paper
The paper investigates the relationship between
real private consumption and the return/value of
the Jamaica Securities Exchange
The paper also seeks to determine whether the
“wealth effect” is validated in the context of
Jamaica
Literature Review
Some aspects of the literature focus on the
channels of linkage between equity markets
and economic growth.
Other aspects of the literature deal with the
wealth effect associated with price
developments on equity markets
The literature also covers what is termed
“uncertainty hypothesis” – associated with
the impact of high volatility of private
consumption
Literature Review:
Stock Markets and Economic
Growth
Levine (1991) derived an endogenous growth
model which demonstrates that stock markets
can promote economic growth through a
process where they facilitate trading of
“ownership” of firms without allowing for
disruptions in the productive process.
Bencivenga, Smith, and Starr (1996) develop
a model which predicts that as capital
markets become more efficient, transaction
costs fall leading to a higher rate of return on
investments in equity.
Literature Review:
Stock Markets and Economic Growth
Developing country studies
Osinubi (2004) utilized data for the period
1980 to 2000 for Nigeria. His results
suggested a positive relationship between
stock market size, stock market liquidity
and economic growth
In a similar study, Nowbutsing and Odit
(2009) using data for Mauritius for the
period 1989 to 2007, found stock market
size and liquidity to be both positively
related to economic growth.
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