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picture1_Budget Spreadsheet 32722 | 51136 2017 01 Trustfundprojections


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File: Budget Spreadsheet 32722 | 51136 2017 01 Trustfundprojections
sheet 1 contents this file presents data that supplement cbo rsquo s january 2017 report the budget and economic outlook 2017 to 2027 wwwcbogovpublication52370 contents 1 trust fund balances projected ...

icon picture XLSX Filetype Excel XLSX | Posted on 09 Aug 2022 | 3 years ago
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Sheet 1: Contents
This file presents data that supplement CBO’s January 2017 report The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2017 to 2027.
www.cbo.gov/publication/52370


Contents

1. Trust Fund Balances Projected in CBO's Baseline
2. Trust Fund Deficits or Surpluses Projected in CBO’s Baseline
3. Balances Projected in CBO’s Baseline for the OASI, DI, and HI Trust Funds

Sheet 2: 1. Projected Balances
This file presents data that supplement CBO’s January 2017 report The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2017 to 2027.














www.cbo.gov/publication/52370











































1. Trust Fund Balances Projected in CBO's Baseline
Billions of Dollars




















Actual,














2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
















Social Security















Old-Age and Survivors Insurance

2,797 2,809 2,794 2,779 2,741 2,669 2,563 2,419 2,235 2,007 1,735 1,412

Disability Insurancea

46 66 88 80 59 35 7 0 0 0 0 0




_____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____


Subtotal 2,843 2,875 2,882 2,859 2,800 2,704 2,571 2,419 2,235 2,007 1,735 1,412
















Civilian Retirementb


907 925 941 957 972 985 997 1,009 1,020 1,031 1,041 1,051
Military Retirement


591 663 746 828 913 1,003 1,093 1,192 1,304 1,413 1,529 1,538
Medicare















Hospital Insurance (Part A)a

192 195 205 203 193 173 131 90 49 0 0 0

Supplementary Medical Insurance (Part B)

63 65 72 77 82 94 98 103 116 128 140 153




___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___


Subtotal 256 260 277 280 275 267 229 193 165 128 140 153
















Highway and Mass Transita


65 50 35 19 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unemployment Insurance


54 62 69 73 69 65 63 64 63 64 65 66
Airport and Airway


13 15 16 17 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 25
Railroad Retirement (Treasury holdings)c


2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Otherd


107 112 114 120 121 123 125 128 131 134 138 142




_____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____



Total Trust Fund Balance 4,837 4,963 5,083 5,155 5,175 5,167 5,099 5,026 4,939 4,801 4,674 4,390
















Memorandum:














Railroad Retirement (Non-Treasury holdings)c


24 23 21 20 19 18 16 16 15 14 13 12
















Source: Congressional Budget Office.
















These balances are for the end of the fiscal year and include securities invested in Treasury holdings.
















a. In keeping with the rules in section 257 of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, CBO’s baseline incorporates the assumption that scheduled payments will continue to be made in full after the trust fund has been exhausted, although there is no legal authority to make such payments. Because the manner by which those payments continued would depend on future legislation, CBO shows zero rather than a cumulative negative balance in the trust fund after the exhaustion date.
















b. Includes Civil Service Retirement, Foreign Service Retirement, and several smaller retirement trust funds.
















c. The Railroad Retirement and Survivors’ Improvement Act of 2001 established the National Railroad Retirement Investment Trust, which is allowed to invest in non-Treasury securities, such as stocks and corporate bonds.
















d. Consists primarily of trust funds for federal employees’ health and life insurance, Superfund, and various insurance programs for veterans.





























































































































































































































































































































































































Z:\In Progress\1-Production\01-Studies & Reports\Budget and Economic Outlook\Supplemental Material\Supplemental Data (In Excel)\[TrustFundProjections.xlsx]1. Trust Fund Balances


Sheet 3: 2. Projected Deficits
This file presents data that supplement CBO’s January 2017 report The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2017 to 2027.

















www.cbo.gov/publication/52370



















































2. Trust Fund Deficits or Surpluses Projected in CBO’s Baseline
Billions of Dollars





















































Total





Actual,










2018- 2018-





2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2022 2027



















Social Security














Old-Age and Survivors Insurance


30 12 -15 -15 -39 -72 -106 -144 -184 -227 -272 -323 -246 -1,397

Disability Insurancea


4 20 22 -9 -21 -24 -28 -31 -34 -36 -39 -43 -59 -241





___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____



Subtotal
34 32 8 -23 -59 -96 -133 -175 -218 -263 -312 -366 -304 -1,638



















Civilian Retirementb 156 18 17 16 14 13 12 12 11 11 11 10 72 127
Military Retirement 60 72 83 81 85 90 90 100 111 109 116 9 430 875
Medicare














Hospital Insurance (Part A)a -3 2 10 -2 -10 -20 -42 -41 -41 -62 -83 -103 -64 -392

Supplementary Medical


















Insurance (Part B)

-3 2 7 5 5 12 4 4 13 13 12 13 33 88





___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ____



Subtotal -6 4 17 3 -5 -8 -38 -36 -28 -49 -71 -90 -31 -304



















Highway and Mass Transita 57 -15 -15 -16 -16 -18 -19 -20 -21 -23 -24 -25 -84 -196
Unemployment Insurance 9 9 6 4 -4 -5 -2 1 -1 1 1 1 0 4
Airport and Airway 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 5 11
Otherc 2 5 2 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 13 29





___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ____ ____




Total Trust Fund Surplus or Deficit 314 126 120 72 17 -20 -86 -117 -142 -209 -273 -454 102 -1,093



















Intragovernmental Transfers to













Trust Fundsd



708 826 741 770 816 862 912 955 987 1,035 1,107 1,055 4,102 9,241



















Net Budgetary Impact of Trust













Fund Programs



-394 -700 -621 -699 -799 -882 -999 -1,071 -1,129 -1,244 -1,380 -1,510 -4,000 -10,334



















Source: Congressional Budget Office.



















Negative numbers indicate that the trust fund transactions add to total budget deficits.



















a. CBO projects that the balance of this trust fund will be exhausted during the 2017–2026 period. However, in keeping with the rules in section 257 of the Balanced Budget and Deficit Control Act of 1985, CBO’s baseline incorporates the assumption that scheduled payments will continue to be made in full after the trust fund has been exhausted, although there is no legal authority to make such payments. The manner by which those payments continued would depend on future legislation.



















b. Includes Civil Service Retirement, Foreign Service Retirement, and several smaller retirement trust funds.



















c. Consists primarily of trust funds for railroad workers’ retirement, federal employees’ health and life insurance, Superfund, and various insurance programs for veterans.



















d. Includes interest paid to trust funds, payments from the Treasury’s general fund to the Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Fund, the government’s share of payments for federal employees’ retirement, lump-sum payments to the Civil Service and Military Retirement Trust Funds, taxes on Social Security benefits, and smaller miscellaneous payments.




















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...Sheet contents this file presents data that supplement cbo rsquo s january report the budget and economic outlook to wwwcbogovpublication trust fund balances projected in baseline deficits or surpluses for oasi di hi funds billions of dollars actual social security oldage survivors insurance disability insurancea subtotal civilian retirementb military retirement medicare hospital part a supplementary medical b highway mass transita unemployment airport airway railroad treasury holdings c otherd total balance memorandum nontreasury source congressional office these are end fiscal year include securities invested keeping with rules section balanced emergency deficit control act incorporates assumption scheduled payments will continue be made full after has been exhausted although there is no legal authority make such because manner by which those continued would depend on future legislation shows zero rather than cumulative negative exhaustion date includes civil service foreign several ...

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