414x Filetype XLS File size 0.62 MB Source: exinfm.com
Sheet 1: 1 - Control Menu
| Financial Analysis & Forecasting | Prepared by Matt H. Evans, CPA, CMA, CFM | ||||||
| Purpose of Spreadsheet: | Revised: | 11/22/2002 |
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| To illustrate concepts related to financial analysis and forecasting. |
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| The financial analysis uses a combination of ratios and industry averages to |
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| evaluate the financial performance of the company. Trend line graphs are also |
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| generated, comparing the company's performance with the industry averages. |
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| Finally, the historical information is used to prepare a set of pro forma |
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| financial statements using both linear and non-linear functions. |
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| Required Inputs: | |||||||
| You will need to collect financial statements for several reporting periods. If you | |||||||
| want to benchmark the performance against the industry, then you will also need | |||||||
| to collect industry averages. The spreadsheet is setup to capture five reporting | |||||||
| periods (annual, quarterly, monthly). All input fields are highlighted in yellow. | |||||||
| For best results, SEC Filings are suggested since these reports provide more | |||||||
| detail than published financial statements. | |||||||
| Note: A small red triangle in the upper right corner of a cell indicates that a comment has | |||||||
| been inserted. Point your mouse over the cell and the comment will appear. |
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| If a cell appears in red, this indicates a warning concerning a calculation. | |||||||
| Worksheets: | |||||||
| This spreadsheet consists of the following worksheets, divided into three sections: | |||||||
| A) Input Worksheets for financial analysis using historical data: | |||||||
| Worksheet | Title | Purpose | |||||
| 2 | General Input | Enter general information here - used on several worksheets. | |||||
| 3 | Balance Sheet | Enter comparative balances sheets for up to five periods. | |||||
| 4 | Income Statement | Enter comparative income statements for up to five periods. | |||||
| 5 | Cash Flow Statement | Enter comparative cash flow statements for up to five periods. | |||||
| Caution: If you enter less than five years of historical information, certain worksheet | |||||||
| formulas may have to be revised. | |||||||
| B) Output Worksheets for evaluating financial performance: | |||||||
| 6 | Key Financial Data | Calculates key financial information for further analysis. | |||||
| 7 | Ratio Analysis | Calculates a series of ratios for further analysis. | |||||
| 8 | Benchmark Analysis | Compare ratio analysis to industry averages. | |||||
| 9 | Horizontal Analysis | Horizontal analysis with corresponding trend lines. | |||||
| 10 | Vertical Analysis | Common size financials in percentages and graphs. | |||||
| C) Pro Forma / Forecasted Financials for Budgeting: | |||||||
| 11 | Pro Forma - Simple | Set of pro forma financials using simple assumptions | |||||
| 12 | Pro Forma - Regression | Set of pro forma financials using linear trending | |||||
| 13 | Pro Forma - Exponential | Set of pro forma financials using exponential smoothing | |||||
| 14 | Scenario Analysis | Example of Scenario Analysis and Goal Seek Analysis | |||||
| 15 | Budget Analysis | Preliminary budget analysis | |||||
| 16 | Final Budgets | Set of budgets per various assumptions and forecasts. | |||||
| Note: Some additional worksheets (Answer Reports 1 & 2) may appear in the spreadsheet | |||||||
| due to the running of Solver. | |||||||
| Macros: | |||||||
| No macros have been used in this spreadsheet to give everyone some assurance that no viruses | |||||||
| are contained in the spreadsheet. However, you are free to add your own macros to save time. | |||||||
| Tools > Macro > Record New Macro | |||||||
| Excel Functions: | |||||||
| This spreadsheet uses certain financial functions (such as =TREND) which might not be | |||||||
| found in your version of Microsoft Excel. To take full advantage of financial and statistical | |||||||
| functions, you should install the Add On package titled: Analysis TookPak. Go to the main | |||||||
| tool bar, select Tools => Add-Ins => check the Analysis TookPak option, insert your | |||||||
| Excel CD and install the Analysis ToolPak. Also, you might want to install the Solver | |||||||
| Add-in since this is useful for solving special forecasting issues (such as finding the | |||||||
| optimal exponential factor). | |||||||
| Compatibility: | |||||||
| This spreadsheet was created with Microsoft Excel 2000. Older versions of Excel (such as 97) | |||||||
| may not be compatible with this spreadsheet. | |||||||
| Corrections: | |||||||
| With any “attempt” to build an Excel Model, I can easily make some mistakes. | |||||||
| So if you have suggestions to make the model better, drop me an email | |||||||
| and I’ll be glad to improve the financial model. My email address is: | matt@exinfm.com | ||||||
| General Input Panel |
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| The following general information should be entered: |
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| Note: Sample data has been entered in the input cells to help you get started. |
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| 2-1 | Name of Company => | X Y Z Corporation USA |
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| 2-2 | Reporting Periods => | Annual | (Annual, Semi-annual, Quarterly or Monthly) |
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| 2-3 | Number of Days in Reporting Period are | 365 | |||||||
| What reporting periods will be entered? | |||||||||
| 2-4 | Most Current Period | 2000 | (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) | ||||||
| 2-5 | Previous Period | 1999 | (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) | ||||||
| 2-6 | 2nd Previous Period | 1998 | (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) | ||||||
| 2-7 | 3rd Previous Period | 1997 | (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) | ||||||
| 2-8 | 4th Previous Period | 1996 | (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.) | ||||||
| 2-9 | Number of historical periods to be analyzed | 5 | |||||||
| How are the amounts expressed in the financial statements? | |||||||||
| (such as: in millions of dollars, thousands of Canadian dollars, etc.) | |||||||||
| 2-10 | millions of dollars | ||||||||
| Home | Balance Sheet for | |||||||||||||
| >> | > | X Y Z Corporation USA | ||||||||||||
| << | < | millions of dollars | ||||||||||||
| End | Annual | Annual | Annual | Annual | Annual | |||||||||
| Period | Period | Period | Period | Period | ||||||||||
| Ref | Description | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | ||||||||
| Current Assets | ||||||||||||||
| 3-1 |
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990 | 950 | 901 | 998 | 870 | ||||||||
| 3-2 |
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10 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 11 | ||||||||
| 3-3 |
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1,020 | 1,550 | 1,830 | 2,250 | 3,040 | ||||||||
| 3-4 |
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1,005 | 1,360 | 1,650 | 1,900 | 2,060 | ||||||||
| 3-5 |
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870 | 1,150 | 1,370 | 1,650 | 1,530 | ||||||||
| 3-6 | Total Current Assets | 3,895 | 5,025 | 5,763 | 6,804 | 7,511 | ||||||||
| NonCurrent Assets | 3-7 |
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14,006 | 17,605 | 21,826 | 26,950 | 28,100 | |||||||
| 3-8 |
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(1,280) | (1,700) | (2,100) | (2,550) | (3,010) | ||||||||
| 3-9 | Net Fixed Assets | 12,726 | 15,905 | 19,726 | 24,400 | 25,090 | ||||||||
| 3-10 |
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360 | 320 | 120 | 590 | 905 | ||||||||
| 3-11 |
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65 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 412 | ||||||||
| 3-12 |
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100 | 110 | 105 | 135 | 195 | ||||||||
| Total Non Current Assets | 13,251 | 16,335 | 19,951 | 25,375 | 26,602 | |||||||||
| 3-13 | Total Assets | 17,146 | 21,360 | 25,714 | 32,179 | 34,113 | ||||||||
| Currrent Liab | 3-14 |
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2,050 | 3,150 | 3,290 | 3,870 | 4,800 | |||||||
| 3-15 |
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1,200 | 1,830 | 2,580 | 3,100 | 3,550 | ||||||||
| 3-16 |
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12 | 15 | 25 | 30 | 36 | ||||||||
| 3-17 |
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1,050 | 1,250 | 1,480 | 1,590 | 1,301 | ||||||||
| 3-18 | Total Current Liabilities | 4,312 | 6,245 | 7,375 | 8,590 | 9,687 | ||||||||
| 3-19 |
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1,160 | 1,750 | 2,600 | 3,600 | 3,950 | ||||||||
| 3-20 |
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650 | 750 | 701 | 890 | 995 | ||||||||
| Total Non Current Liabilities | 1,810 | 2,500 | 3,301 | 4,490 | 4,945 | |||||||||
| 3-21 | Total Liabilities | 6,122 | 8,745 | 10,676 | 13,080 | 14,632 | ||||||||
| Equity | 3-22 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 3-23 |
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2,044 | 2,005 | 2,069 | 2,090 | 2,120 | ||||||||
| 3-24 |
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5,013 | 4,900 | 5,159 | 5,626 | 5,628 | ||||||||
| 3-25 |
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5,097 | 7,050 | 9,840 | 15,050 | 20,005 | ||||||||
| 3-26 |
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275 | 120 | (550) | (2,147) | (6,722) | ||||||||
| 3-27 |
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(1,405) | (1,460) | (1,480) | (1,520) | (1,550) | ||||||||
| 3-28 | Total Shareholder Equity | 11,024 | 12,615 | 15,038 | 19,099 | 19,481 | ||||||||
| Total Liabilities & Equity | 17,146 | 21,360 | 25,714 | 32,179 | 34,113 | |||||||||
| 3-29 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| Comment => | Balances | Balances | Balances | Balances | Balances | |||||||||
| Additional Information | 3-30 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 3-31 |
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112 | 101 | 90 | 98 | 109 | ||||||||
| 3-32 | Goodwill Write Off | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3-33 |
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1,320 | 1,290 | 1,302 | 1,345 | 1,322 | ||||||||
| 3-34 | Par Value of Common Stock | $10.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | ||||||||
| 3-35 | No of Preferred Shares o/s | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3-36 | Par Value of Preferred Stock | |||||||||||||
| 3-37 |
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$22.65 | $28.90 | $37.05 | $33.60 | $29.40 | ||||||||
| 3-38 |
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$0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ||||||||
| 3-39 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3-40 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3-41 |
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$8.35 | $9.78 | $11.55 | $14.20 | $14.74 | ||||||||
| 3-42 | Dividends per Common Share | $1.01 | $1.49 | $1.89 | $1.75 | $1.76 | ||||||||
| 3-43 | Dividend Payout Ratio | 45.47% | 38.61% | 39.44% | 29.76% | 30.24% | ||||||||
| 3-44 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3-45 |
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1,330 | 1,918 | 2,461 | 2,354 | 2,329 | ||||||||
| 3-46 | Total Dividends Paid | 1,330 | 1,918 | 2,461 | 2,354 | 2,329 | ||||||||
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