6 Megatrends 2030 
     (George Vielmetter and Yvone sell, 2014)
     • 1.Globalisasi 2.0.  (from west to east)
     • 2. Environmental and Energy Crisis (potential war)
     • 3. Demographic Change (aging population)
     • 4. Digital Era (people always on)
     • 5. Technological Convergence (Nano, Bio, Robotic)
     • 6. Individualism and pluralism (higher income society)
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  Mengapa beberapa Negara Makmur, 
  berapa yang lain tidak?
    • Natural Ressources (sumber daya alam)
    • Human Ressources (sumber daya manusia)
    • Institutional Strength (kekuatan sistem)
    • Values Strength (kekuatan nilai budaya)
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  Pembangunan dan Kemakmuran
    • Pembangunan: Planned growth in the direction of 
     modernity or nation building and socio economic progress 
     involving substantial differentiation and co-ordination 
    • Essentially increase ability of human societies to shape their 
     physical, human and cultural environment
    (Edward W. Weidner , 1970: Development Administration in 
    Asia)
     Kondisi Kondisi yang diperlukan dalam Pembangunan 
     (Sets of Conditions Leading to Development) 
       )htw orG alnoi ectriD(       ) e          em Chang(Syst   ) edd entni ro ednanlP(
        nah ub muterP  ahrA            tems Sinaha  rubPe               aancanenerP
       In the direction of          Ability  of political         Planning 
        In the direction of          Ability  of political        Planning 
      modernity or                 and                           commission have 
      modernity or                 and                           commission have 
      nation building              administrative                to take 
      nation building              administrative                to take 
      and socio-                   system                        compromises 
      and socio-                   system                        compromises 
      economic                                                   facing the groups 
      economic                                                   facing the groups 
      progress                                                   or individual value 
      progress                                                   or individual value 
         Much planned change requires prior basic change in the political and 
          Much planned change requires prior basic change in the political and 
           administrative systems. The reasons for failure of planned 
           administrative systems. The reasons for failure of planned 
                 program is an adequate administrative system
                 program is an adequate administrative system
       Berbagai Tipe Pembangunan (WEIDNER, 1970)
           •   Ideal:  Planned Directional Growth with System change
           •   The Short-run payoff:  Planned Directional Growth with no System Change
           •   The Long-run payoff: Planned System Change with no Directional Growth
           •   Failure: Planning with no Growth or System Change
           •   Environmental Stimulus: Unplanned Directional Growth with system change
           •   Pragmatism: Unplanned Directional Growth with no System Change
           •   Crisis: Unplanned System Change with no Directional Growth (emergencies)
           •    
           •   Static Society: No Plans, No Change