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Technical Newsletter #34 - November 2016 PETROLEUM REFINING AND INSURANCE PART I Crude Oil Refining - a constantly evolving industry Introduction th Refining can be considered by many as a mature and stable industry but it has changed drastically since the 19 century, adapting to its ever-changing and challenging environment. Insurers have had to follow this transformation and adapt their way of underwriting these risks. Part I of this Technical Newsletter takes us on the journey the refining industry has had to travel. In the beginning was the crude oil… Of interest to refiners and insurers is that petroleum has been known and used in various ways (adhesives, flaming projectiles, ”GET UP EARLY, WORK LATE - AND boat coating, lighting...), since ancient times. The first users of STRIKE OIL.” JOHN D. ROCKEFELLER’S petroleum were located in the Middle East (Egypt, Babylon, Mesopotamia, Persia...) and China. RECIPE FOR SUCCESS. Many types of crude oils are produced around the world. The main components, primarily hydrocarbons, can be Sulfur and TAN(1) are good indicators of potential corrosion differentiated by their properties, the most important of which problems and are therefore of interest to insurers. is the boiling temperature as it allows for the primary separation by distillation (see figure 2). Today oil is still the primary source of energy with 32% vs 30% for coal and 24% for gas according to the BP statistical review The price of a particular crude oil depends on its characteristics, 2015 (see figure 1). two of the most important of which are density and sulfur content. Density ranges from light to heavy, while sulfur Figure 1: World Energy Consumption content goes from sweet (low sulfur) to sour (up to 6% sulfur). Coal The density and concentration of contaminants such as sulfur Coal Renewables 14000 are good indicators of how easy to process the crude is and of Renewables 14000 Hydroelectricity Hydroelectricity its price. The most well-known references for crude oil prices are Nuclear energy 12000 Nuclear energy 12000 Natural gas Brent (North Sea) and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) however Natural gas Oil 10000 over 150 crudes are traded. Oil 10000 8000 8000 6000 Did you know? 6000 Barrel comes from the French Baril. Before it became 4000 4000 standard in 1860 during the Pennsylvnia oil rush 2000 the 42 Gallon (159 liters) barrels were first used for 2000 petroleum in Pechelbronn, Alsace where the first Million tonnes oil equivalent per year 0 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 0 oil sands were mined and refined from 1745. Source: BP Statistical Review 2015 (1) Total Acid Number which is a measurement of acidity 1 Refining 1.01 A petroleum refinery is an industrial process plant where ”TURNAROUNDS AND OTHER crude oil is processed into more useful products such as (by MAINTENANCE ACTIVITIES ARE order of volumes produced): IMPORTANT FOR THE INTEGRITY OF THE › Transportation fuels (gasoline, kerosene, diesel) PLANT AND THEREFORE OF PARTICULAR › Heating fuels (fuel oil) INTEREST TO INSURERS.” › Petrochemical industry feedstocks (naphtha, propylene) › Liquefied Petroleum Gas (butane, propane) Due to the evolution of technology and automation, the › Lubricants number of employees has decreased from several thousands, for example the Whiting Refinery in the US employed 3000 people › Bitumen in the early 1900’s, to a few hundred in developed countries depending on the level of contracting. In some cases, the number › Coke of employees could be higher, as it can be used by governments › Sulfur as a means of employment. The skills of the employees have significantly changed and the level of knowledge has increased considerably. Figure 2: Distillation of crude oil, Gas first step of refining 20°C 150° C Finally, the complexity of refinery operations is such that they can Gasoline be fully optimised to produce the highest possible margins, only 200° C through the use of Linear Programming (LP) models to respond Kerosene to changes in market environment and to the introduction of 300° C new (usually more stringent) product specifications and new Crude Oil Diesel crude slates. 370° C Fuel Oil Refineries are composed of three main areas: 400° C › PROCESS UNITS : where crude oil is actually transformed into Lubricating Oil, final products. Paraffin Wax, FURNACE Asphalt › UTILITIES: produce all the utilities required by the process Source: SCOR units such as power, steam, hydrogen, nitrogen, air, water… Basically crude oil undergoes physical and chemical processes. › STORAGE (feedstocks and products): required to store the Figure 3 shows a typical refinery process flow diagram with usual crude oil and final products before they are expedited. process units and final products. By nature, hydrocarbons are flammable products and they are processed at high temperatures and pressures in the presence of hydrogen, which exacerbates their flammability and explosivity. Hence, the safe operation of refineries requires a broad range of highly trained and specialised personnel (instrumentation, electrical, mechanical, process, safety...). Refinery capacity is defined by the crude throughput and is generally expressed in barrels per day (bpd). Refineries operate continuously, 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, except when they are shut down for the general maintenance of the units known as turnaround. These take place every 4 to 5 years, usually lasting 5 to 6 weeks, during which time maintenance activities that cannot be performed during normal operations are carried out. SCOR GLOBAL P&C - TECHNICAL NEWSLETTER #34 - NOVEMBER 2016 2 Figure 3: Refinery process flow diagram Crude Oil Tanker Pipeline Gas Gas Liquid Atmospheric Distillation Distillation Atmospheric Residue Kerosene Gas Function: Separates the Sour GasSour Gas different products Vacuum Naphtha Gas Steam based on boiling Distillation Plant Reforming points Examples: Butane / PropaneFuel GasHH -Atmospheric 22 distillation Vacuum Residue -Vacuum distillation Sour GasSour Gas Distillates HDS Sour GasSour Gas Treatment Visbroken Gasoline Function: Amine Removes the Delayed Visbreaking MEROX contaminants such as HDT Washing Coker Sour GasSour Gas sulfur and nitrogen HH Sour GasSour Gas from the feeds 22 Distillates Prepares streams for additional processing CokeLight Coker GasoilHeavy Coker GasoilCoker GasolineVisbroken ResidueVisbroken GasoilVisbroken Gasoline Examples: 2H -Distillate and rich gas gasoline hydrotreatments HDS Naphtha Claus Unit/ (HDS, HDT) HDS Splitter Tail Gas Light Naphtha Sour GasSour Gas HH Heavy Naphtha 22 Light FCC Gasoil Upgrading Function: Rearranges the molecules to improve the Catalytic properties of the Hydrocraking Heavy Naphtha feed Cracking FCC Examples: -Catalytic reforming Heavy FCC GasoilFCC GasolineButenesPropyleneGasoilKeroseneLight Naphtha -Alkylation Catalytic -Isomerisation Reforming Isomerisation Butane / Propane Lube Oil Conversion Plant Function: Methanol / Ethanol Breaks down the heavy crude Isobutene fractions into lighter Butane products, such as middle distillate. Sour GasSour Gas Examples: HH 22 -Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) -Hydrocracker -Coker HDT MTBE-ETBE Alkylation Blending Vacuum Residueacuum ResidueVAsphaltAsphaltLube Oils / Parafins / WCokeVisbroken ResidueHeavy FCC GasoilGasoilGasoil Kerosene FCC GasolineMTBE / ETBEAlkylateLight NaphthaReformateIsomeratePropyleneBenzeneNaphthaCommercial Butane / PropaneFuel GasSulfur Function: Mixes the various hydrocarbon components manufactured in the refinery to meet the axes final product specifications Examples: -Blending areas with pumps and intermediate storage tanks. Blending Lube Oil Blending / Blending / Blending / Blending / Blending Tank Farm Tank Farm Tank Farm Tank Farm Additives Additives Additives Bitumen Waxes Coke Own Heavy Fuel Heating Diesel Kerosene Gasoline Petro- Liquefied Fuel Sulfur Coke Parrafins Refinery /Bunker Oil chemicals Petroleum Gas Lube Oils Fuel Gases Source: SCOR SCOR GLOBAL P&C - TECHNICAL NEWSLETTER #34 - NOVEMBER 2016 3 The complexity of refining processes has been increasing dramatically The refinery process has been Table 1: From simple to complex refineries improved over more than 100 years with the addition of new, more CONFIGURATION NELSON DESCRIPTION complex units. COMPLEXITY INDEX The Nelson Complexity Index (NCI), which allows to measure the conversion capacity in comparison to Topping < 2 This type of refinery simply separates crude oil into the primary distillation capacity of any light gas, refinery fuel, naphtha and distillates (final products) by atmospheric distillation. There are no refinery, is used to compare refineries. chemical reactions involved. It is an indicator of the investment intensity or cost index of the refinery Hydroskimming 2-6 Upgrades naphtha into gasoline with catalytic but also the potential value added of a reforming and removes sulfur with hydrotreating units. refinery (see table 1). Conversion 6-12 Converts heavy crude oil fractions (fuel oil, asphalt low The trend of increasing conversion value product) into lighter products (such as gasoline capability will pull up the complexity and diesel). index as the world’s demand for lighter products increases. Deep Conversion >12 Converts the heaviest and least valuable crude oil fractions (residual oil) into lighter more valuable The complexity index has increased products. over the years (see figure 4). A short history of the petroleum and refining industry The modern history of petroleum started when James In 1870, the US were the largest oil exporter and J. D Rockefeller Oakes discovered how to produce kerosene from coal in founded the Standard Oil Company which by 1879 controlled 1847 in England. 90% of US refining capacity. In 1857, Michael Dietz invented a flat-wick kerosene lamp that The demand for petroleum was relatively stable until the early th replaced whale oil and created a new market for crude oil. 20 century. The invention of electricity progressively replaced kerosene lamps. The invention of the automobile and its mass The advancement of crude oil production began when Colonel production shifted the demand to gasoline and diesel. Edwin L. Drake developed a new technology to extract oil from the ground near Titusville, Pennsylvania, using drilling, with a steam engine, through a pipe. The first drop of oil came out from the ground when the well depth reached 69ft, on Monday Did you know? th 29 August 1858, later producing 30 barrels per day. This marked the beginning of the Pennsylvania oil rush. Colonel Drake was to end The conjunction of those events triggered the oil and then the up as an impoverished man. Pennsylvania voted an annuity refining industry boom. In 1860-1861, seven refineries were of $1,500 to the “crazy built in Pennsylvania and Arkansas. By the end of the 1860s, man” whose determination 58 refineries were in operation in Pittsburgh, primarily to recover founded the oil industry. kerosene. SCOR GLOBAL P&C - TECHNICAL NEWSLETTER #34 - NOVEMBER 2016 4
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