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technical newsletter 34 november 2016 petroleum refining and insurance part i crude oil refining a constantly evolving industry introduction th refining can be considered by many as a mature and ...

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                 Technical
                 Newsletter
                 #34 - November 2016
                 PETROLEUM REFINING AND INSURANCE
                 PART I 
                 Crude Oil Refining - a constantly evolving industry 
                 Introduction
                                                                                                                                                                                                    th
                 Refining can be considered by many as a mature and stable industry but it has changed drastically since the 19  century, 
                 adapting to its ever-changing and challenging environment. Insurers have had to follow this transformation and adapt 
                 their way of underwriting these risks.
                 Part I of this Technical Newsletter takes us on the journey the refining industry has had to travel.
                 In the beginning was the crude oil…
                 Of interest to refiners and insurers is that petroleum has been 
                 known and used in various ways (adhesives, flaming projectiles,                                      ”GET UP EARLY, WORK LATE - AND 
                 boat coating, lighting...), since ancient times. The first users of                                  STRIKE OIL.” JOHN D. ROCKEFELLER’S 
                 petroleum were located in the Middle East (Egypt, Babylon, 
                 Mesopotamia, Persia...) and China.                                                                   RECIPE FOR SUCCESS.
                 Many types of crude oils are produced around the world.  
                 The main components, primarily hydrocarbons, can be                                                  Sulfur and TAN(1) are good indicators of potential corrosion 
                 differentiated by their properties, the most important of which                                      problems and are therefore of interest to insurers.
                 is the boiling temperature as it allows for the primary separation 
                 by distillation (see figure 2).                                                                      Today oil is still the primary source of energy with 32% vs 30% 
                                                                                                                      for coal and 24% for gas according to the BP statistical review 
                 The price of a particular crude oil depends on its characteristics,                                  2015 (see figure 1).
                 two of the most important of which are density and sulfur 
                 content. Density ranges from light to heavy, while sulfur                                            Figure 1: World Energy Consumption
                 content goes from sweet (low sulfur) to sour (up to 6% sulfur).  
                                                                                                                               Coal
                 The density and concentration of contaminants such as sulfur                                                    Coal
                                                                                                                               Renewables                                                                    14000
                 are good indicators of how easy to process the crude is and of                                                  Renewables                                                                 14000
                                                                                                                               Hydroelectricity
                                                                                                                                 Hydroelectricity
                 its price. The most well-known references for crude oil prices are                                            Nuclear energy                                                                12000
                                                                                                                                 Nuclear energy                                                             12000
                                                                                                                               Natural gas
                 Brent (North Sea) and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) however                                                     Natural gas
                                                                                                                               Oil                                                                           10000
                 over 150 crudes are traded.                                                                                     Oil                                                                        10000
                                                                                                                                                                                                            8000
                                                                                                                                                                                                              8000
                                                                                                                                                                                                            6000
                      Did you know?                                                                                                                                                                           6000
                      Barrel comes from the French Baril. Before it became                                                                                                                                  4000
                                                                                                                                                                                                              4000
                      standard in 1860 during the Pennsylvnia oil rush 
                                                                                                                                                                                                            2000
                      the 42 Gallon (159 liters) barrels were first used for                                                                                                                                  2000
                      petroleum in Pechelbronn, Alsace where the first                                                  Million tonnes oil equivalent per year                                              0
                                                                                                                          1989         1993        1997        2001        2005        2009        2013
                                                                                                                          89    91    93     95    97     99    01    03     05    07    09     11    13      0
                      oil sands were mined and refined from 1745.
                                                                                                                                                                             Source: BP Statistical Review 2015
                 (1) 
                  Total Acid Number which is a measurement of acidity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1
                 Refining 1.01
                 A petroleum refinery is an industrial process plant where                                           ”TURNAROUNDS AND OTHER 
                 crude oil is processed into more useful products such as (by                                        MAINTENANCE ACTIVITIES ARE 
                 order of volumes produced):                                                                         IMPORTANT FOR THE INTEGRITY OF THE 
                 › Transportation fuels (gasoline, kerosene, diesel)                                                 PLANT AND THEREFORE OF PARTICULAR 
                 › Heating fuels (fuel oil)                                                                          INTEREST TO INSURERS.”
                 › Petrochemical industry feedstocks (naphtha, propylene)
                 › Liquefied Petroleum Gas (butane, propane)                                                         Due to the evolution of technology and automation, the 
                 › Lubricants                                                                                        number of employees has decreased from several thousands, for 
                                                                                                                     example the Whiting Refinery in the US employed 3000 people 
                 › Bitumen                                                                                           in the early 1900’s, to a few hundred in developed countries 
                                                                                                                     depending on the level of contracting. In some cases, the number 
                 › Coke                                                                                              of employees could be higher, as it can be used by governments 
                 › Sulfur                                                                                            as a means of employment. The skills of the employees have 
                                                                                                                     significantly changed and the level of knowledge has increased 
                                                                                                                     considerably.
                 Figure 2: Distillation of crude oil,                         Gas
                 first step of refining                                       20°C
                                                                  150° C                                             Finally, the complexity of refinery operations is such that they can 
                                                                                   Gasoline                          be fully optimised to produce the highest possible margins, only 
                                                                  200° C                                             through the use of Linear Programming (LP) models to respond 
                                                                                   Kerosene                          to changes in market environment and to the introduction of 
                                                                  300° C                                             new (usually more stringent) product specifications and new 
                                Crude Oil                                          Diesel                            crude slates.
                                                                  370° C
                                                                                   Fuel Oil                          Refineries are composed of three main areas:
                                                                  400° C
                                                                                                                     › PROCESS UNITS             : where crude oil is actually transformed into 
                                                                              Lubricating Oil,                          final products. 
                                                                              Paraffin Wax,
                                             FURNACE                          Asphalt                                ›  UTILITIES: produce all the utilities required by the process 
                                                                                             Source: SCOR               units such as power, steam, hydrogen, nitrogen, air, water…
                 Basically crude oil undergoes physical and chemical processes.                                      › STORAGE          (feedstocks and products): required to store the 
                 Figure 3 shows a typical refinery process flow diagram with usual                                      crude oil and final products before they are expedited. 
                 process units and final products. By nature, hydrocarbons 
                 are flammable products and they are processed at high 
                 temperatures and pressures in the presence of hydrogen, 
                 which exacerbates their flammability and explosivity. 
                 Hence, the safe operation of refineries requires a broad 
                 range of highly trained and specialised personnel 
                 (instrumentation, electrical, mechanical, process, safety...). 
                 Refinery capacity is defined by the crude throughput and is 
                 generally expressed in barrels per day (bpd). Refineries operate 
                 continuously, 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, except when they 
                 are shut down for the general maintenance of the units known 
                 as turnaround. These take place every 4 to 5 years, usually lasting 
                 5 to 6 weeks, during which time maintenance activities that 
                 cannot be performed during normal operations are carried out. 
                              SCOR GLOBAL P&C - TECHNICAL NEWSLETTER #34 - NOVEMBER 2016
                2
         Figure 3: Refinery process flow diagram
                                                                                                                       Crude Oil
                                                                              Tanker                                                                         Pipeline
                                Gas                                                                                                                                                                                                      Gas
                                Liquid                                                                                  Atmospheric
                                                                                                                         Distillation                                                                                                                     Distillation
                                                                                        Atmospheric Residue                       Kerosene                     Gas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Function:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Separates the 
                                                                                                                                              Sour GasSour Gas                                                                                      different products 
                                                                   Vacuum                                                                                                                          Naphtha      Gas                 Steam           based on boiling 
                                                                  Distillation                                                                                                                                 Plant              Reforming         points
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Examples: 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Butane / PropaneFuel GasHH        -Atmospheric 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         22         distillation
                            Vacuum Residue
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -Vacuum distillation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sour GasSour Gas
                                                                              Distillates                                                 HDS                                                          Sour GasSour Gas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Treatment
                                                                                                                                                                                      Visbroken Gasoline                                            Function:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Amine           Removes the 
                          Delayed                Visbreaking                                                                     MEROX                                                                                                              contaminants such as 
                                                                                                                                                                                                HDT                                Washing
                            Coker                                                 Sour GasSour Gas                                                                                                                                                  sulfur and nitrogen 
                                                                                     HH                                        Sour GasSour Gas                                                                                                     from the feeds 
                                                                                      22
                  Distillates                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Prepares streams for 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    additional processing
                           CokeLight Coker GasoilHeavy Coker GasoilCoker GasolineVisbroken ResidueVisbroken GasoilVisbroken Gasoline                                                                                                                Examples:
                                                                                                                                                                             2H                                                                     -Distillate and 
                                                                                                                                                                              rich gas                                                              gasoline 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    hydrotreatments 
                                                                             HDS                                                                                                              Naphtha                            Claus Unit/        (HDS, HDT)
                                                                                                                          HDS                                                                  Splitter                             Tail Gas 
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Light Naphtha
                                                                                                          Sour GasSour Gas
                                                                                                             HH                                                                   Heavy Naphtha
                                                                                                              22
                                                       Light FCC Gasoil                                                                                                                                                                                   Upgrading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Function:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Rearranges the 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    molecules to 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    improve the 
                                                                Catalytic                                                                                                                                                                           properties of the 
                                                                                                Hydrocraking                  Heavy Naphtha                                                                                                         feed
                                                             Cracking FCC                                                                                                                                                                           Examples:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -Catalytic reforming 
                                                                Heavy FCC GasoilFCC GasolineButenesPropyleneGasoilKeroseneLight Naphtha                                                                                                             -Alkylation
                                                                                                                                                                         Catalytic                                                                  -Isomerisation 
                                                                                                                                                                        Reforming         Isomerisation
                                                                                                                             Butane / Propane
                          Lube Oil                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Conversion
                            Plant 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Function:
                                                                                                                                                              Methanol / Ethanol                                                                    Breaks down the 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    heavy crude 
                                                                                                                                                        Isobutene                                                                                   fractions into lighter 
                                                                                                                                                                             Butane                                                                 products, such as 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    middle distillate.
                                                                            Sour GasSour Gas                                                                                                                                                        Examples:
                                                                               HH
                                                                                22                                                                                                                                                                  -Fluid Catalytic 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Cracking (FCC)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -Hydrocracker 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -Coker
                                                                       HDT                                                                          MTBE-ETBE          Alkylation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Blending
                 Vacuum Residueacuum ResidueVAsphaltAsphaltLube Oils / Parafins / WCokeVisbroken ResidueHeavy FCC GasoilGasoilGasoil       Kerosene       FCC GasolineMTBE / ETBEAlkylateLight NaphthaReformateIsomeratePropyleneBenzeneNaphthaCommercial Butane / PropaneFuel GasSulfur
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Function:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mixes the various 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    hydrocarbon 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    components 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    manufactured in the 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    refinery to meet the 
                                         axes                                                                                                                                                                                                       final product 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    specifications 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Examples:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -Blending areas with 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    pumps and 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    intermediate storage 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    tanks.
              Blending            Lube Oil                  Blending /                               Blending /                    Blending /                       Blending /
                                  Blending                  Tank Farm                                Tank Farm                     Tank Farm                        Tank Farm
                                                                                        Additives                 Additives                                     Additives
               Bitumen          Waxes       Coke          Own Heavy Fuel                      Heating        Diesel                Kerosene                       Gasoline                          Petro-      Liquefied      Fuel Sulfur
                 Coke         Parrafins                  Refinery       /Bunker                    Oil                                                                                             chemicals      Petroleum     Gas
                              Lube Oils                   Fuel                                                                                                                                                     Gases                                     Source: SCOR 
                                                                                                                                   SCOR GLOBAL P&C - TECHNICAL NEWSLETTER #34 - NOVEMBER 2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3
           The complexity of refining processes has been increasing 
           dramatically
           The refinery process has been               Table 1: From simple to complex refineries
           improved over more than 100 years 
           with the addition of new, more                 CONFIGURATION         NELSON           DESCRIPTION 
           complex units.                                                       COMPLEXITY 
                                                                                INDEX 
           The Nelson Complexity Index 
           (NCI), which allows to measure the 
           conversion capacity in comparison to           Topping               < 2              This type of refinery simply separates crude oil into 
           the primary distillation capacity of any                                              light gas, refinery fuel, naphtha and distillates (final 
                                                                                                 products) by atmospheric distillation. There are no 
           refinery, is used to compare refineries.                                              chemical reactions involved.
           It is an indicator of the investment 
           intensity or cost index of the refinery        Hydroskimming         2-6              Upgrades naphtha into gasoline with catalytic 
           but also the potential value added of a                                               reforming and removes sulfur with hydrotreating units. 
           refinery (see table 1).
                                                          Conversion            6-12             Converts heavy crude oil fractions (fuel oil, asphalt low 
           The trend of increasing conversion                                                    value product) into lighter products (such as gasoline 
           capability will pull up the complexity                                                and diesel).
           index as the world’s demand for lighter 
           products increases.                            Deep Conversion       >12              Converts the heaviest and least valuable crude oil 
                                                                                                 fractions (residual oil) into lighter more valuable 
           The complexity index has increased                                                    products.
           over the years (see figure 4).
           A short history of the petroleum and refining industry 
           The modern history of petroleum started when James                   In 1870, the US were the largest oil exporter and J. D Rockefeller 
           Oakes discovered how to produce kerosene from coal in                founded the Standard Oil Company which by 1879 controlled 
           1847 in England.                                                     90% of US refining capacity. 
           In 1857, Michael Dietz invented a flat-wick kerosene lamp that       The demand for petroleum was relatively stable until the early 
                                                                                  th
           replaced whale oil and created a new market for crude oil.           20  century. The invention of electricity progressively replaced 
                                                                                kerosene lamps. The invention of the automobile and its mass 
           The advancement of crude oil production began when Colonel           production shifted the demand to gasoline and diesel. 
           Edwin L. Drake developed a new technology to extract oil from 
           the ground near Titusville, Pennsylvania, using drilling, with a 
           steam engine, through a pipe. The first drop of oil came out 
           from the ground when the well depth reached 69ft, on Monday                            Did you know? 
              th
           29  August 1858, later producing 30 barrels per day. This 
           marked the beginning of the Pennsylvania oil rush.                                     Colonel Drake was to end 
           The conjunction of those events triggered the oil and then the                         up as an impoverished man. 
                                                                                                  Pennsylvania voted an annuity 
           refining industry boom. In 1860-1861, seven refineries were                            of $1,500 to the “crazy 
           built in Pennsylvania and Arkansas. By the end of the 1860s,                           man” whose determination 
           58 refineries were in operation in Pittsburgh, primarily to recover                    founded the oil industry. 
           kerosene. 
                    SCOR GLOBAL P&C - TECHNICAL NEWSLETTER #34 - NOVEMBER 2016
           4
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...Technical newsletter november petroleum refining and insurance part i crude oil a constantly evolving industry introduction th can be considered by many as mature stable but it has changed drastically since the century adapting to its ever changing challenging environment insurers have had follow this transformation adapt their way of underwriting these risks takes us on journey travel in beginning was interest refiners is that been known used various ways adhesives flaming projectiles get up early work late boat coating lighting ancient times first users strike john d rockefeller s were located middle east egypt babylon mesopotamia persia china recipe for success types oils are produced around world main components primarily hydrocarbons sulfur tan good indicators potential corrosion differentiated properties most important which problems therefore boiling temperature allows primary separation distillation see figure today still source energy with vs coal gas according bp statistical ...

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