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The Lee Kong Chian School of Business Academic Year 2014 /15 Term 2 QF 303 STOCHASTIC CALCULUS AND FINANCE THEORY Instructor Name : Tee Chyng Wen Title : Assistant Professor of Quantitative Finance (Practice) Tel : 6828-0819 Email : cwtee@smu.edu.sg Office : LKCSB #5037 COURSE DESCRIPTION The objective of this course is to introduce students to the mathematics of financial derivatives. The concept that created the subject and led to the development of the field of financial derivatives is the pricing and hedging of European options. There are two approaches - via stochastic calculus/PDE and probability theory/martingale pricing formula. The same framework has been applied to the pricing and hedging of other more exotic financial products. The course is an interesting mix of finance and mathematics. Students will see that simple financial concepts like the no-arbitrage principle, coupled with careful mathematical reasoning, lead to a sophisticated formalism of pricing and hedging. The mathematical tools employed are calculus/real analysis, stochastic calculus, probability theory and numerical methods. Background from QF 203 Real Analysis is assumed. The other mathematical requisites will be furnished during the course. LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of the course, students will be able to: Explain the concept of option pricing via the hedging of risk, replication and the principle of no- arbitrage. Use the binomial asset pricing model as a simple discrete model of price stochasticity to price options. Explain the basic aspects of the Black-Scholes-Merton Theory. Use basic stochastic calculus - particularly stochastic integrals, Ito’s Lemma and Girsanov’s Theorem. Explain the risk neutral option pricing framework. Price simple exotic options. PRE-REQUISITE/ CO-REQUISITE/ MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE COURSE(S) Please refer to the Course Catalogue on OASIS for the most updated list of pre-requisites / co-requisites for this particular course. Do note that if this course has a co-requisite, it means that the course has to be taken together with another course. Dropping one course during BOSS bidding would result in both courses being dropped at the same time. ASSESSMENT METHODS Students will be assessed through a take-home term-test (25%), weekly asignments (25%) and a final exam (40%). Class participation counts for 10%. 1 Academic Integrity All acts of academic dishonesty (including, but not limited to, plagiarism, cheating, fabrication, facilitation of acts of academic dishonesty by others, unauthorized possession of exam questions, or tampering with the academic work of other students) are serious offences. All work (whether oral or written) submitted for purposes of assessment must be the student’s own work. Penalties for violation of the policy range from zero marks for the component assessment to expulsion, depending on the nature of the offence. When in doubt, students should consult the course instructor. Details on the SMU Code of Academic Integrity may be accessed at http://www.smuscd.org/resources.html. INSTRUCTIONAL METHODS AND EXPECTATIONS Lectures Students are explained the mathematical framework that underlie the pricing of financial derivatives during the lectures. Examples to illustrate the concepts from the framework are amply provided to consolidate learning and understanding. Exercises Exercises that accompany each lecture give students opportunities to practise on the concepts taught in class. Term-Tests Through take-home term-test, students can assess for themselves if they have learnt the concepts well. Examination There will be a final exam which will focus on the materials covered in class. No make-up exams will be allowed without prior permission. CONSULTATIONS Drop me an email a day in advance before you come. Email questions are welcomed at any time. CLASS TIMINGS This course will be taught in one 3-hour session. RECOMMENDED TEXT AND READINGS Stochastic Calculus for Finance I and II (Steven Shreve) Wilmott on Quantitative Finance (Paul Wilmott) The Mathematics of Derivatives (Robert Navin) 2 WEEKLY LESSON PLANS Week Specific Learning Objectives Topics Covered Instructional Assessment of Learning No. for the Lesson Strategies 1 Properties of distributions Exercises that accompany Lectures, questions Probability Review and Random walk Linear Recurrence Equations each lecture, two mid-term and discussions Generating Functions tests, one final examination during class, email Random Walk on a Number Line and designated office 2 Lattice Model (Binomial Tree) Lattice Models: two-state, three-state hours consultation Martingale Pricing Theory in Discrete Models 3 Brownian Motion & Stochastic Integral Brownian Motion Stochastic/Ito Integrals 4 Ito’s Lemma Stochastic Differential Equation & Ito’s Chain Rules and Box Calculus Lemma Stochastic differential equations 5 Risk Neutrality & Martingale Measure Change of Measure Risk-neutral measure and valuation 6 Trading strategies Black-Scholes Formulation Black-Scholes Formulations Martingale Representation Theorem & Trading Strategy Failed Attempts Original Black-Scholes Derivation 7 Radon-Nikodym Derivative Review Choleskey Decomposition European Options Digital options Spread options Static Replication of European Payoff 8 Mid-Term Break 9 Dividends T-Forward measure Exotic Options Forward start options Variance swaps Interest rate derivatives: caplets, swaptions 10 Payoff, reflection principle application, Barrier Options Girsanov’s theorem’s application, expectation pricing, joint distribution of extremum and terminal value 3 11 Binomial tree approach American Options Monte Carlo simulation: Euler, Milstein Discretisation of Black-Scholes Longstaff & Schwartz’s least square method 12 Convexity correction: quanto, multi-currency Convexity & Black-Scholes Extension change of numeraire, Libor-In-Arrears etc. Black-Scholes Extensions: local volatility, stochastic volatility: Heston, SABR. 13 Revision Course Review 14 Pre-Examination Week 15 Final Examination 4
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