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HYDE PARK CAPITAL Integrity | Expertise | Results Investment Banking | Mergers & Acquisitions | Capital Raising John Hill Senior Managing Director hill@hydeparkcapital.com (813) 383-0205 John McDonald Senior Managing Director mcdonald@hydeparkcapital.com (813) 383-0206 Consumer & Retail Keith Hodgdon Managing Director M&A Report hodgdon@hydeparkcapital.com (813) 383-0208 Q3 2016 Jami Gold Vice President gold@hydeparkcapital.com (813) 383-0203 Greg Bosl Vice President bosl@hydeparkcapital.com (813) 597-2649 Jeffrey Hendricks Vice President jhendricks@hydeparkcapital.com (678) 523-3073 Kenneth Burnside Business Development Officer burnside@hydeparkcapital.com (864) 905-9633 Hyde Park Capital Advisors, LLC 701 N. Franklin Street Tampa, FL 33602 Tel: 813-383-0202 www.hydeparkcapital.com Member FINRA/SIPC Capital Markets Overview – Consumer & Retail Commentary Select Public Offerings – Consumer & Retail (Q3 2016) ($ in millions) IPO / Offering As of September 30, 2016, the S&P 500 Retailing Index and S&P Offer Date Issuer Industry Sector Secondary Size 500 increased 14.4% and 12.7%, respectively, over the last 12 09/21/16 e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. Household Products IPO $142 month period, while the S&P 500 Consumer Durables & Apparel 09/12/16 Blue Buffalo Pet Products, Inc. Packaged Foods Secondary $355 Index declined 3.2%. 09/06/16 Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Retail Secondary $358 The table on the right illustrates select public offerings completed 08/29/16 The Coca-Cola Co. Soft Drinks Fixed Income $2,552 in Q3 2016. AdvancePierre Foods Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:APFH), 08/16/16 The Kraft Heinz Foods Co. Packaged Foods Fixed Income $14,967 which produces sandwiches, other entrees and snacks, raised $391 08/04/16 Albertsons Companies, LLC Food Retail Fixed Income $1,250 million in the largest IPO during the quarter. 08/03/16 At Home Group, Inc. Household Products IPO $130 The Beverages and Packaged Foods sectors were the industry’s 07/26/16 Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. Drug Retail Secondary $1,208 leaders with respect to valuation during the 3rd quarter, trading at 07/25/16 Post Holdings, Inc. Packaged Foods Fixed Income $1,750 EBITDA multiples of 17.9x and 13.7x, respectively. 07/14/16 AdvancePierre Foods Holdings, Inc. Packaged Foods IPO $391 Public Market Performance (LTM) Public Company Market Performance by Sector 120% Median 14.4% Change in Stock Price Enterprise Value / LTM 110% Industry Sector 3 Months 12 months Revenue EBITDA 12.7% Specialty Retail (0.1%) 0.0% 0.7x 6.9x Department Store Retail 9.9% (22.9%) 0.5x 6.0x Discount Stores & Mass Merchants (4.4%) 6.7% 0.6x 11.1x 100% Apparel, Accessories & Footwear Retail 2.2% (6.1%) 0.6x 6.2x 3.2% Apparel, Accessories & Footwear (7.6%) (10.4%) 1.2x 10.1x Furniture & Furnishings Retail (1.9%) (3.7%) 0.6x 6.0x 90% Furniture & Furnishings Manufacturers (5.7%) (8.5%) 0.9x 8.2x Personal Care Products 3.5% 22.7% 1.7x 12.2x Household Products 1.1% 17.9% 2.2x 11.6x Recreational & Leisure Products (3.8%) 7.8% 1.6x 10.7x 80% Restaurants (1.4%) 2.8% 1.5x 10.3x Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Packaged Foods (5.1%) 20.0% 2.3x 13.7x S&P 500 S&P 500 Retailing Index S&P 500 Consumer Durables & Apparel Index Beverages (1.4%) 14.6% 5.8x 17.9x Source: S&P Capital IQ Food Retail (8.1%) (2.7%) 0.5x 7.4x HYDE PARK CAPITAL 2 Investment Banking | Mergers & Acquisitions | Capital Raising Annual M&A Activity – Consumer & Retail Commentary Completed U.S. M&A Transactions by Deal Size As detailed in the charts below, Middle Market M&A activity in the ($ in billions) Consumer & Retail industry declined during the year-to-date YTD '15 YTD '16 % Change period ended September 30, 2016, with 95 closed transactions, a Deal Size Volume Value Volume Value Volume Value 29% decrease from the 134 transactions that closed during the Less than $100M 90 $3.3 52 $2.3 (42%) (29%) prior year period. $100 - $499M 39 $8.8 37 $8.0 (5%) (10%) Despite a significant drop in deal volume, the total value of $500 - $999M 5 $3.1 6 $4.4 20% 40% completed Middle Market M&A transactions in the Consumer & Total Middle Market 134 $15.3 95 $14.8 (29%) (4%) Retail industry fell only 4% to $14.8 billion, down from $15.3 % of Total Market billion during YTD ‘15. Less than $100M 67% 21% 55% 16% $100 - $499M 29% 58% 39% 54% YTD ’16 deal value was bolstered by transactions valued between $500 - $999M 4% 21% 6% 30% $500 million and $1 billion which represented 30% of completed Total Middle Market 100% 100% 100% 100% transaction value, compared with 21% during the prior year period. U.S. M&A Activity – Annual Trends: VALUE U.S. M&A Activity – Annual Trends: VOLUME 250 217 231 221 $35 $29.0 $30.2 200 190 190 192 198 197 189 ns) $30 $26.3 $28.2 $26.3 e 176 lloi$25 $25.1 $25.4 mn Volu150 151 140 ue ($ in bi $22.1 $21.7 $21.2 $21.7 oansacti 131 134 on Val$20 $18.1 $15.3 $14.8 rTotal T100 95 l Transacti$15 $13.9 50 taTo$10 0 $5 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD '15YTD '16 $0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD '15YTD '16 Less than $100M $100 - $499M $500 - $999M Less than $100M $100 - $499M $500 - $999M Source: S&P Capital IQ (middle market includes all closed deals with disclosed deal value between $10 million and $1 billion) HYDE PARK CAPITAL 3 Investment Banking | Mergers & Acquisitions | Capital Raising Quarterly M&A Activity – Consumer & Retail Commentary Completed U.S. M&A Transactions by Deal Size As detailed in the charts below, Middle Market M&A activity in the ($ in billions) Consumer & Retail industry decreased during Q3 2016 compared Q3 2015 Q3 2016 % Change with Q3 2015. Middle Market M&A transaction volume decreased Deal Size Volume Value Volume Value Volume Value to 31 transactions, down from 48 transactions in the prior year Less than $100M 29 $1.1 17 $0.7 (41%) (31%) period. $100 - $499M 17 $3.9 13 $2.9 (24%) (26%) $500 - $999M 2 $1.4 1 $0.9 (50%) (34%) The total value of completed Middle Market M&A transactions in Total Middle Market 48 $6.3 31 $4.5 (35%) (29%) the Consumer & Retail industry fell 29% to $4.5 billion, down from % of Total Market $6.3 billion in Q3 2015. Less than $100M 61% 17% 55% 16% $100 - $499M 35% 62% 42% 64% We expect deal volume will increase in the Consumer and Retail $500 - $999M 4% 21% 3% 20% industry during Q4 2016 due to low consumer price index rates, Total Middle Market 100% 100% 100% 100% large amounts of disposable income, and increased consumer spending in Q4 2016. U.S. M&A Activity – Quarterly Trends: VOLUME U.S. M&A Activity – Quarterly Trends: VALUE 80 $10 $8.8 s)lion$8 $7.5 $7.5 e 60 55 58 57 55 n bil mn Volu 48 53 49 45 48 alue ($i $6$6.4 $6.4 $6.3 $6.1 $6.1 $6.3 $6.4 $6.7 oansacti40 43 38 41 39 action V $5.1 $4.5 rTotal T 24 25 25 31 l Trans$4 $2.9 $3.6 20 taTo$2 $2.5 $2.8 0 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 $0 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2' 15 Q3 '15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Less than $100M $100 - $499M $500 - $999M Less than $100M $100 - $499M $500 - $999M Source: S&P Capital IQ (middle market includes all closed deals with disclosed deal value between $10 million and $1 billion) HYDE PARK CAPITAL 4 Investment Banking | Mergers & Acquisitions | Capital Raising
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