185x Filetype XLSX File size 0.06 MB Source: www.oregon.gov
Sheet 1: Overview
Risk Assessment by Business Objective —Overview | |
Key Feature | Prioritizes risks using red/yellow/green rating system |
Risk Identification Characteristics | • Specific risks are identified for each business objective. • Risks are determined via various sources, including discussions with management, knowledge of the business, ERM alignment, prior audit projects, etc. |
Risk Measurement Characteristics | • Impact and likelihood of specific risks are determined and rated on a high/medium/low scale. • Impact and likelihood scales are predefined. • Rationales are documented to support risk ratings. |
Risk Prioritization Characteristics | • Risks are prioritized using a red/yellow/green scale. • The priority score determines key risks that will be included in audit plan. • Red represents high priority and recommended for inclusion in plan. • Yellow represents medium priority and considered for inclusion in audit plan. • Green represents low risks that are not recommended for inclusion in plan. |
Example 1: Hybrid Model—Templates | |
Template 1.1 | 1.1 Evaluation Approach'!A1 |
Template 1.2 | 1.2. Risk Factor Definitions'!A1 |
Template 1.3 | 1.3 Risk Evaluation Form'!A1 |
1.1 Evaluation Approach | |
Risk Assessment | The purpose of the risk assessment is to identify high priority topics to include in the audit plan and allocate resources accordingly. Auditors should perform an initial analysis to identify the business/process objectives to include in the risk assessment process. Preliminary risk considerations for each objective include process complexity, degree of program change, and previous audits and results. For each business/process objective, risks should be identified and evaluated upon: • The potential impact on the business objectives; • The likelihood of that risk materializing; and • Alignment with the agency’s Enterprise Risk Management program (if one is in place). The combined assessment provides a red, yellow, or green status of whether the risk should be included in the audit plan. The rationale for inclusion or exclusion of risks from the audit plan should be documented on the evaluation summary as follows: • Green status (low priority) – risk not recommended for inclusion in the audit plan, unless a mandatory audit requirement. • Yellow status (medium priority) – risk could be considered for inclusion on the plan subject to available resources. • Red status (high priority) – risk recommended to be include on plan; if not included for audit coverage other management action should be taken to address. Each key risk identified during the risk assessment process should be prioritized and recorded on the Risk Evaluation Form. |
Template 1.2. Risk Factor Definitions | Impact | |||||||||||
Factor | Definition | High | Medium | Low | ||||||||
Impact Factors (the effect on the organization) | ||||||||||||
High | We will not achieve our objective or it will require major damage control | Likelihood | High | HH | HM | HL | ||||||
Medium | We will have to do extra work or we will be inefficient, but we can still achieve our goal or objective | Medium | MH | MM | ML | |||||||
Low | We will be aware of it but it will have little or no effect upon operations or achievement of the objective | Low | LH | LM | LL | |||||||
Probability Factors (the likelihood of the risk occurring) | ||||||||||||
High | The risk is certain or almost certain to occur | Impact | ||||||||||
Medium | The risk is likely to occur | High | Medium-High | Medium | Medium-Low | Low | ||||||
Low | It is unlikely that the risk will occur | |||||||||||
Audit Plan Priority | Likelihood | High | HH | HMH | HM | HML | HL | |||||
Red | Recommended for inclusion in audit plan or management action | Medium-High | MHH | MHMH | MHM | MHML | MHL | |||||
Yellow | Consider including in plan | Medium | MH | MMH | MM | MML | ML | |||||
Green | Not include in plan | Medium-Low | MLH | MLMH | MLM | MLML | MLL | |||||
Low | LH | LMH | LM | LML | LL | |||||||
Note: Can also modify with numbered scale 1-5 or 1-10; i.e. 1-2 = Low/Green; 3 = Medium/Yellow; 4-5 = High/Red) |
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